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· Posted on
November 4, 2024

Woolies isn’t looking so fresh after announcing that its earnings are expected to be down 5%

Woolies has warned that its earnings before interest and tax for the six months to December is expected to drop 5.6% below last years $1.6 billion result.

What's the key learning?

  • Woolies has done a great job with it e-commerce platform, but they haven't really made adjustments on the logistic side of things.
  • For Woolies, they need to pick the stock, pack the stock and then dispatch it via its logistics arm, which is a lot more expensive than having a customer rock up to the shop.
  • This is part of the reason why Woolies’ share price dropped more than 6% after the news.

👉 Background: Woolworths is the biggest supermarket in Australia with roughly 37% market share — ahead of Coles with 28% market share. Woolies has been through a lot this year, including price gouging inquiries, and losing its ex-CEO after a media bungle.

👉 What happened: Now, Woolies has warned that its earnings before interest and tax for the six months to December is expected to drop 5.6% below last years $1.6 billion result...and 6% below market consensus.

👉 What else: With the cost of living squeeze on customers, Woolies has been forced to discount its goodies. But interestingly, the growth of its e-commerce business has also been a reason for its struggling EBIT.

What's the key learning?

💡When companies pursue new initiatives, they can unleash hidden costs that come back to bite.

💡Woolworths grew its e-commerce sales by over 23% last quarter - they now account for 14.5% of all of its sales. But, e-commerce sales are less profitable than those in physical supermarkets, as Woolies' logistics costs are higher.

💡Woolies isn’t quite at a point where its e-commerce penetration can justify reducing the size of its stores. It has maintained the same size and cost of stores...but added a new cost for e-commerce. And this added cost is putting pressure on Woolies' bottom line.

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