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· Posted on
August 30, 2024

Nvidia's share price drops 7% despite record results - because investors want their chips extra crispy

Nvidia has announced their revenue for the previous quarter had hit $US30 billion — up 16% on the previous quarter and up 154% on this time last year.

What's the key learning?

  • Continually smashing your guidance can create almost too high expectations.
  • The moment when Nvidia meets, but doesn't significantly exceed expectations, might be a signal to investors that the peak of the AI boom might be approaching.
  • So, although Nvidia may still be above their target, the decline from the previous expectations made the revenue update quite bland for the investors.

👉 Background: Nvidia was founded back in 1993 as a computer chip company - mainly for video games. But over the last few years, Nvidia has become the chip behind many of the worlds big tech companies hoping to get into AI.

👉 What happened: Now, Nvidia has announced their revenue for the previous quarter had hit $US30 billion — up 16% on the previous quarter and up 154% on this time last year. Sounds pretty good right?

👉 What else: Despite beating their guidance, Nvidia's share price dropped nearly 7% because just beating guidance isn't good enough for Nvidia’s investors.

What's the key learning?

💡When a company consistently smashes its revenue forecasts, it sets a high bar for future performance, which can be difficult to maintain over the long term.

💡Over the past few years, Nvidia's investors have become so accustomed to the company smashing its guidance, so only “beating” its guidance was a let-down for its investors.

💡Get this: there has been over $100bn in annual investment into AI so far. But this obviously hasn’t yet translated into profits for big tech. So investors are keenly watching for signs that Nvidia’s growth is plateauing, which could indicate that the market frenzy around AI is cooling off.

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