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· Posted on
April 19, 2024

LVMH's fashion unit stumbles on 2% growth but investors had braced for a full-blown fall

LVMH’s fashion and leather goods unit saw revenue growth of just 2% in the first quarter of this year, which is down from 18% growth a year earlier.

What's the key learning?

  • Investor's anticipation could be based on forecasts, rumours, industry trends, or any other public information.
  • When the unfavorable results were confirmed, there wasn’t a decline in the share price because the bad news was already "priced in".
  • LVMH’s slowdown in the luxury market wasn’t quite as slow as its slower rival Gucci.

👉 Background: LVMH is the luxury fashion conglomerate that has more than 75 luxury brands under its ownership, including OGs like Louis Vuitton, Moet Hennessy but also Christian Dior, Fendi and Bulgari.

👉 What happened: LVMH’s fashion and leather goods unit saw revenue growth of just 2% in the first quarter of this year, which is down from 18% growth a year earlier. At the same time, LVMH's biggest rival Kering, the owner of Gucci, warned that Gucci's sales are likely to fall 20%.

👉 What else: When LVMH announced 2% sales growth, its share price actually increased because the forecasted sales decline had already been ‘priced in’ to the LVMH share price before the announcement.

What's the key learning?

💡When outcomes are "priced in" to a share price, it means that investors have anticipated certain results and have already factored them into the value of a company before the official announcement.

💡In the case of LVMH, investors expected poor results and the share price had dropped before the announcement. In fact, LVMH’s share price is down more than 8% in the past 12 months.

💡 But when the results weren't as bad as expected, LVMH's share price went up because a negative growth was priced in.

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