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· Posted on
November 8, 2024

Aussie leaders warn of the local impact of Trump's tariff tantrums

The Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia is expecting Trump to slap an extra 10-20% tariff on all Australian exports to the US.

What's the key learning?

  • Now that Trump had seamlessly won the US Presidential elections, some governments are worried about how this will be impacting the trade with US.
  • One of those is Australia, which exports a serious amount with China — who will probably be the first casualty of Trump's possible tariff increases.
  • And, since Australia’s trade relationship with China has been a major driver of our growth in the past decade, this will most likely impact our economy, too.

👉 Background: After Donald Trump's US election win earlier this week, countries around the world have been reflecting on what his American-first approach will mean for them. Although right now, there are “concepts of a plan”, it's likely that US-based companies will be receiving the red carpet treatment.

👉 What happened: The Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, Michele Bullock is expecting Trump to slap an extra 10-20% tariff on all Australian exports to the US as well as other “adverse effects” on Australia’s economy.

👉 What else: But that’s not the only impact on our economy, because Trump has spoken about even bigger tariffs of up to 60% on exports from China. So this presidency could hit Australia’s economy in more ways than one.

What's the key learning?

💡When tariffs rise, the ripple effect can often be felt far and wide. A 10% increase in tariffs in Australia probably won’t make a material impact to our economy, but a 60% tariff on China might impact us a whole lot more.

💡While Australian exporters sent $22 billion worth of goods to the US in the last financial year, we exported more than $219 billion worth of goods to China, like coal, iron and agriculture.

💡And Australian could face the domino effect.

  • If Chinese goods become more expensive in the US, Americans are likely to buy less Chinese goods
  • With less demand for Chinese goods, China is likely to import less raw material from Australia,

So there are a whole lot of reasons why Australia is vulnerable to changes in the US economic policy.

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