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· Posted on
December 16, 2024

Adobe's share price plummets as it struggles to monetise its AI tool, Firefly... or as some call it... Firefizzle

Adobe’s stock has dropped by more than 13% because it released weaker-than-expected revenue projections.

What's the key learning?

  • Adobe needs to go above and beyond to offer something that actually differentiates themselves from Canva or Microsoft or Google.
  • But the challenge for Adobe is that they haven’t yet been able to truly monetise its AI functionality which it promised to be a gamechanger.
  • So, tech companies like Adobe who have invested heavily in AI have yet to prove that they can monetise it successfully, else investors may become impatient, impacting its share price.

👉 Background: Adobe is the OG design software powerhouse behind Photoshop, Illustrator and Premier Pro tools. It also created the PDF format back in the '90s. But gone are the days when designers couldn’t live without Adobe... because hello to the emergences of Canva, Figma and other competitors.

👉 What happened: Now Adobe’s stock has dropped by more than 13% because it released weaker-than-expected revenue projections - especially for its AI product, Firefly, which it launched in March 2023.

👉 What else: Investors are particularly concerned because competitors like Canva, Midjourney and Runway have released their own AI design offerings, making this market even more competitive.

What's the key learning?

💡After more than two years in the market, AI has become a baseline expectation for software companies rather than a unique selling point.

💡For Adobe, this means that having AI features like Firefly isn’t enough. Adobe’s R&D expenses hit $2.6 billion for the nine months ending on September 1, 2023, with the bulk going into the AI development.

💡So Adobe's investors are getting impatient and want to see a return on this investment soon - or otherwise, they'll design up a storm elsewhere.

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